Braves vs. Phillies Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread - May 28
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Published: May. 28, 2023 at 11:43 AM MDT|Updated: May. 28, 2023 at 4:48 PM MDT
Sunday's contest features the Atlanta Braves (31-21) and the Philadelphia Phillies (25-27) facing off at Truist Park (on May 28) at 7:10 PM. This matchup, according to our computer prediction, will result in a 5-4 win for the Braves.
This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Braves will send Spencer Strider (4-2) to the mound, while Dylan Covey will take the ball for the Phillies.
Braves vs. Phillies Game Info & Odds
- When: Sunday, May 28, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
- Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
- How to Watch on TV: ESPN2
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo!
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Braves vs. Phillies Score Prediction
Our pick for this matchup is Braves 5, Phillies 4.
Total Prediction for Braves vs. Phillies
- Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
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Read More About This Game
Braves Performance Insights
- In nine games as the favorite over the last 10 matchups, the Braves have a record of 4-5.
- When it comes to hitting the over, Atlanta and its opponents are 5-4-1 in its last 10 games with a total.
- The Braves have one win against the spread in their last two chances.
- This season, the Braves have been favored 43 times and won 26, or 60.5%, of those games.
- Atlanta has been at least -250 moneyline favorites seven times this season and won each of those games.
- The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 71.4% chance of a victory for the Braves.
- Atlanta has scored the seventh-most runs in the majors this season with 264.
- The Braves have a 3.69 team ERA that ranks fourth across all MLB pitching staffs.
Phillies Performance Insights
- The Phillies have been an underdog just two times in their last 10 contests and won both matchups.
- In its previous 10 games with a total, Philadelphia and its opponents have combined to exceed the over/under on five occasions.
- The Phillies have gone 2-1-0 against the runline over their past 10 matchups (three of those contests had a runline set by oddsmakers).
- The Phillies have been chosen as underdogs in 18 games this year and have walked away with the win seven times (38.9%) in those games.
- Oddsmakers have given Philadelphia the worst odds of winning it has seen this season with a +200 moneyline listed for this contest.
- The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 33.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Philadelphia scores the 22nd-most runs in baseball (223 total, 4.3 per game).
- The Phillies have the 23rd-ranked ERA (4.58) in the majors this season.
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Braves Schedule
Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
---|---|---|---|
May 23 | Dodgers | L 8-1 | Spencer Strider vs Bobby Miller |
May 24 | Dodgers | W 4-3 | Bryce Elder vs Tony Gonsolin |
May 25 | Phillies | W 8-5 | Dylan Dodd vs Aaron Nola |
May 26 | Phillies | L 6-4 | Jared Shuster vs Taijuan Walker |
May 27 | Phillies | L 2-1 | Charlie Morton vs Zack Wheeler |
May 28 | Phillies | - | Spencer Strider vs Dylan Covey |
May 29 | @ Athletics | - | Mike Soroka vs Paul Blackburn |
May 30 | @ Athletics | - | Bryce Elder vs JP Sears |
May 31 | @ Athletics | - | Jared Shuster vs JP Sears |
June 2 | @ Diamondbacks | - | Charlie Morton vs Merrill Kelly |
June 3 | @ Diamondbacks | - | Spencer Strider vs Tommy Henry |
Phillies Schedule
Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
---|---|---|---|
May 23 | Diamondbacks | L 4-3 | Matt Strahm vs Ryne Nelson |
May 24 | Diamondbacks | W 6-5 | Ranger Suárez vs Zac Gallen |
May 25 | @ Braves | L 8-5 | Aaron Nola vs Dylan Dodd |
May 26 | @ Braves | W 6-4 | Taijuan Walker vs Jared Shuster |
May 27 | @ Braves | W 2-1 | Zack Wheeler vs Charlie Morton |
May 28 | @ Braves | - | Dylan Covey vs Spencer Strider |
May 30 | @ Mets | - | Ranger Suárez vs Kodai Senga |
May 31 | @ Mets | - | Aaron Nola vs Carlos Carrasco |
June 1 | @ Mets | - | Taijuan Walker vs Max Scherzer |
June 2 | @ Nationals | - | Zack Wheeler vs Josiah Gray |
June 3 | @ Nationals | - | TBA vs MacKenzie Gore |
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